Sunday, May 18, 2008

BUSH FAILS IN OIL ... AGAIN


Everyone in America knows that George W. Bush was a failure as a businessman in the oil industry. Well, in spite of touting his oil credentials as a potential plus with OPEC members when he ran for the White House, it turns out that he's an abject failure at Oil Diplomacy too.

Here's a quick overview of President Bush's most recent efforts at "jawbone" diplomacy, which he claimed he would bring to the White House.

For the second time in two months, President Bush's efforts to "jawbone" his Saudi friends over the cost of oil fell on deaf ears. On Friday, oil surged to a record $127 after Bush's meeting with King Abdullah failed to secure a production increase beyond the meager 300,000 barrels the Saudis previously committed to on May 10th. In all, it was just the latest dismal failure for the jawbone of the Texas oilman who campaigned on his powers of persuasion when it came to OPEC ...

... For its part, OPEC brushed off Bush's feeble entreaties and rejected calls for an emergency meeting ahead of the cartel's next scheduled gathering in September. On Saturday, the Qatari oil minister put it simply, "The oil market is balanced...There is no threat to or crisis in supply."
There's no secret to what's happening here. OPEC members do not respect, nor trust, the capabilities of George W. Bush. And they're particularly not happy with the Bush administration's dollar policy (there is none). As Fadel Gheit, an oil analyst at Oppenheimer & Company in New York, put it: "It's really not surprising that they have ignored [Bush]" when you consider the collapsing value of the dollar.


Indeed, while Saudi King Abdullah has "shut down grandstanding talk from Venezuela's Hugo Chavez and Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad" (which focused on moving OPEC away from the "worthless piece of paper" this past February) OPEC Secretary-General Abdullah al-Badri is still suggesting that the oil cartel might switch to euro-based pricing.

My guess is that this will become a real issue some time during the next administration. When this happens it will be yet another tattered feather in President Bush's lifelong headban of failure.

- Mark

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